Rob Cesternino bids adieu

[Rob Cesternino]

*in a subdued voice* Hello everybody and welcome to what is very likely the final episode or Rob plays Survivor Warriors Japan. Tonight we get into what the playing field looks like and the possibilities and scenarios that could lead to my unlikely survival. 

After a little bit of paranoia about the vote being split between me and Fairplay, it turned out to be straight forward - ish and Jon went home. The more interesting thing was an Amber vote based off of boot list. I pointed out to Amber that all of us had voted and seeing as Eliza and Baylor were the 2 people who actually noticed that results were posted earlier than what was supposed to be the case and of those 2 Eliza self voted, my brilliant deduction skills tell me it was Baylor who had Ambuhh on the top of her boot list because once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth.
And here we were counting on Baylor and/or PG with/without Eliza wanting to take out someone from the boneheaded marriage of Abi/Coach. BTW I have trashed on Abi and Coach a lot and likely will even more going forward in convos with other people but it's just a kind of envy because both of them did what I couldn't do and that was assimilate. Anyways, back to the game, when I pointed out this observation to Amber she seemed taken aback and borderline offended as to how I can possibly say Baylor wanted her gone. I was surprised at how mad she seemed to get. She later asked Corinne if Corinne voted to make sure it wasn't one of us. Fair enough I guess. I believe they are talking at this very moment about it, hashing it out and what not. I don't know how inclined Ambuhh and Siska are to stick with me and Corinne now that Jon is gone. It would actually be in Amber's best interest to just kind of go with the flow. Let me and Corinne get voted out. Then watch the Fuji 4 and Abi/Coach eat each other and slide to the end. She knows she has 3 locked votes of me, JFP and Corinne because we hate everyone else. Hopefully she doesn't actually do that and I get to write Coach's name and send his ass out of the game. 

So, possible scenarios about what could happen with the votes.

Ambuhh gets Fuji 4 on board to vote Abi. Abi goes 8-2. Wouldn't mind this.

Fuji 4 lie to Ambuhh. The vote is 6-4 Rob-Abi. I go home 

Fuji 4 get Ambuhh and Siska back. She lies to me. The vote is 8-2 Rob-Abi. I go home 

Ambuhh gets Fuji 4 on board to vote Abi. But I convince Ambuhh that the 4 "Outcast Losers" i.e Amber/Corinne/Siska and I + the katana make it 5-4-2 Coach-Abi-Rob. That way, Abi has no incentive to trust the Fuji 4 and we can possibly make something happen. Plus, Coach's stupid butt get's ousted. Win win for us all. *sigh* The chances of this happening are slim to none. 

So, not a lot of good stuff to look forward to. And I am not going to talk about the IC because, lbr, don't stand a chance against Eliza and PG. 

That's it for the time being.

[Rob Cesternino]

Hello again. A few updates to add.

Corinne informed me last night that Siska came to her and told her that Fuji 4 were trying to get back in Siska's good graces. He claimed he was act
ing buddy buddy with Eliza and PG and trying to get back in with them too. He gave an interesting tidbit today that Eliza and PG were laughing at how obvious Amber was making it that she wants me and Corinne in the game and Abi gone. He told us that they were tossing around the idea of voting off Amber this round. I took this with a grain of salt. I can't see a reason why the powers at be would want to rock the boat at this stage. 

So I mulled things over in my head. I had thought of the possibility of bringing Abi back into the fold like so.

• Let Abi know PG, Eliza and Baylor are all wary of Abi and don't want her to make it far
• Let Amber know that Siska had heard she was being considered as a target and they were just blowing smoke when they said they would vote off Abi
• Convince Amber, Abi, Siska and Corinne to vote together with the Katana and take out either Alex or Baylor.
• The suggested target had to be someone who both Abi and Amber agree is a threat. So that ruled out Coach.
• Preferably not let Coach in on the plan because he would just go and blab to the Fuji 4 and convince Abi to not go along with this admittedly radical play.

Now maybe I am just crazy and coming up with these ridiculous plans that only sound good to me. But I thought this plan at least could have merited a discussion. Well here is what happened,

Rob Cesternino

i was going to write up a proposal for a rather radical move and pitch it to abi 

but I am really questioning it 

Amber Brkich 

go for it 

Rob Cesternino

aren't u trying to get her booted?  

and i'll run it by you guys before I do it 

Amber Brkich

yea i want her booted 

but you can try if you want 

Rob Cesternino

well my try depends on u to be willing to work with her 

Amber Brkich

no what no 

no 

no 

no 

idk 

do what you want 

Rob Cesternino

never mind 

i'll just spend the afternoon trying to do the gif on the parchment thing

So that was that. No point in even talking to Abi. Not that I think she will actually reply to me. But that little exchange effectively ended any desire I had to work with Ambuhh. So much so that it led to me making this gem for use at the next Tribal

And since I was getting the hang of it, I went ahead and made one more just in case I feel like changing my vote to someone else

So my survival in the game at the moment is entirely out of my hands. The littlest comfort I have is that I believe PG when she says she will give me a heads up if I am next to go. It's very little but there is a chance PG is being genuine about it. Then there is the fact that I personally cannot see any reason that Fuji 4 are lying to Siska once again. And Siska told me and Corinne in another group chat called "Corinne's Hotties"   that he was  being totally honest when he is saying that the Fuji 4, or in his case, Eliza and PG, wanted to target Amber.

Now my take on the situation is this. The dynamics of alliance of 6 are a black box to me. But if I had to guess, I'd say Coach is tightest with Alex and Baylor. There has to be a reason that Coach is so confident. My guess is that that is it. He believes, and probably has a genuine core 3 within the 6. Abi and Coach have become increasingly tight. This I base off of the fact that when I called Abi out for BSing me and said that she sounds like she is repeating what Coach told her to tell people, she became visibly pissed off at me. In my experience nothing pisses people off more than the truth and/or when it paints them as being a sheep or a follower to someone else. So Abi looks to be on the bottom as of now. PG and Eliza for all intents and purposes are an F2 with each other. It would make the most sense to sit next to someone who had to go through a similar story as you and they both had to go through winning a challenge to stay in the game. 

I realized while writing this, how much is just conjecture that I am basing on sources that are questionable. It's borderline depressing how little solid intel I have on the workings of the alliance and the bonds between people. I attribute that to people playing a very good game and not letting information slip. And for that I tip my hat towards whoever is in charge. Because whoever they are, they are running a tight ship where I don't see any opportunities to penetrate it ...

  

[Rob Cesternino]

This round is both exciting and infuriating simultaneously. My eyes popped out when Corinne shared this with me

Abi

If Jason/Amber want to vote with you and Rob still 

and I come back, we can make something happen

But when viewed with the background that Amber doesn't even want to talk about working with Abi, and everything Abi said to Corinne about how she knows now that Fuji 4 lied to her about Jon having an idol, and that they weren't talking to her at that moment and also asking Corinne "Do you have choice (other than trusting Abi)", yeah this was a move bound to fail. The hilarious aspect is Abi thinks, she was willing to make a move and Corinne shut her down. That prompted her to get the target switched from Amber  to me as a way of "punishing" Corinne  But the hilarity of the whole situation does not stop there. If Abi was being genuine, then it would have been Amber's fault that this did not work. And seeing as there is sliver of hope that Amber may yet get voted out, Amber will have effectively pulled a Tyson and voted herself out of the game   Oh my word! If this happens I will have officially been entertained enough by this game that I won't care if I get voted out next. Tbqh I already have been entertained enough and won't really mind that much if I do leave this round. Which again is a high possibility. And that was not the case just a few hours ago when I had received indication from both PG and Eliza, in no uncertain terms, that I was safe. 


Well, at the end of the day, I got word from PG yet again that she doesn't want me gone and as long as I can convince Corinne to vote Amber. Which  she is my boo and will want her "Cesty" around as long as is possible  I gave PG the confirmation that Corinne and I are voting Amber. By the sounds of it, this is far from set and there very likely will be scrambling tomorrow. I don't know how much of it I can indulge in so I have already cast my vote and am mentally in a place where I will feel alright if I get voted out next. Don't get me wrong, I would love to stay in and I did what I could with PG who is my only legitimate ray of hope at the moment and to a lesser extent with Eliza but that was before the TC began and the craziness ensued. I have been told to expect votes but also to be comfortable that I won't leave. Should be a fun tribal either way. 

I hope these are not my parting words and I get to add in more, either later in the day tomorrow or hopefully after next TC. But if they are, it's been a pleasure to part take in this game. To the hosts, especially Jeremy, you don't suck and are quite cool. Thanks for letting me play 

This is Rob Cesternino bidding farewell.